I used to be a die-hard Roger Clemens fan, and initially I gave him the benefit of the doubt concerning allegations made against him in the Mitchell report. After all, there were 80+ people named, so I wouldn't be suprised if there were one or two mistakes. However, the manner in which Roger has handled McNamee's allegations has caused me to take a harder look at things, and each day I become more and more convinced that Roger is guilty guilty guilty.
First off, we have the motive issue. Why would McNamee lie? A lie puts him at risk of perjury, the suddenly en-vogue offense for the Feds to prosecute. The whole idea of a plea deal is to get everything out there and off your chest while you have the immunity carrot dangling--what does he gain by naming Clemens? McNamee had done an excellent job pre-Mitchell Report at maintaining a low profile, and he continues to turn down book deals and movie rights despite his sick kid, so I doubt he was looking to cause a sensation, otherwise he would have taken the Canseco route.
Then we have Clemens' motive. He has every reason in the world to lie. Not only is he not under oath yet, so he isn't at risk or perjury, but he has a lot to lose if McNamee is speaking the truth. Hall of Fame, future speaking engagements, a career as an analyst, coach or scout. Roger has a lot to lose, a lot of motive to lie.
Second, everything else McNamee has said to this point has been substantiated. Andy Pettite, Roger's best bud, admitted that McNamee had in fact injected him with HGH. Whether you buy Andy's excuse for why he did it is irrelevant. He admitted that what McNamee said was true--he injected him twice with HGH as stated in Mitchell report. Why would McNamee tell the truth about some players, and then just throw in a lie about Clemens--the biggest name he would name. It just doesn't make sense to perjure yourself at that point. If McNamee was making crap up, wouldn't you expect other players he named to join in on Clemens' defamation lawsuit?
Third--Clemens' taped phone call. I lost every iota of respect I had for Roger Clemens when he taped and played that call at the press conference. To call the guy under the guise of checking up on his critically ill child when in fact you are secretly taping the call and looking to make him contradict himself is pretty low. It is interesting that despite the pressure that Clemens put McNamee under, he never did anything in the call to make someone doubt his allegations. And then Roger tells him not to come to Texas because his family is mad and he is afraid of what they would do to McNamee. Bush-league attempt at intimidation there.
Fourth Clemens' lawyers claim they were not aware of the allegations in the Mitchell Report previous to its being made public. Two days after that statement, the Congressional Committee asks his lawyers to surrender copies of taped interviews their investigators had with McNamee in the weeks prior to the issuance of the Mitchell Report. Oops. Seems their habit of taping interviews and phone calls blowed up on them here. Seems they hired investigators to research McNamee's claims two months before the Report was made public.
Fifth Clemens has claimed that he and his agent were also broadsided by the Mitchell Report and had no idea he was to be named. Today, MLB and Sen. Mitchell submitted to the Congressional Committee copies of letters issued by Sen Mitchell to the MLBPA stating which players would be named, with details of the allegations. All players were invited to meet with Mitchell to see evidence and to dispute or rebut allegations. A second letter was specifically mailed to the agents of all current players named.
So, what it comes down to for me is this: Clemens knew in advance what he was being accused of. He had his lawyers looking into it well in advance of the publishing of the Mitchell Report. Both he and his representation have made untrue statements publically about their knowledge of the allegations, and they have acted very surreptitiously in their efforts not to prove their innocence, but to besmear his accuser.
Guilty, guilty, guilty.