timmyboy wrote:

Cornellcoug wrote:

timmyboy wrote:

If BYU wins out, craig is right - BYU will land a 4 or 5. That would be 16-1 over the last 17 games with likely 5 wins over RPI top 50 teams (likely) - 2 times over UNLV, 3 times over New Mexico.

Plus, they may have no losses to teams with less than 20 teams. Plus a good win over Louisville and some close losses to MSU and UNC. Great resume.

History has shown that even if BYU is deserving they do not get a seed that is very high. I would say that a 6 seed is about as high as they will get based on history even if they are ranked 16.

Cornellcoug - history actually points the opposite way. BYU has only had two teams with comparable records to what they would be if they won out (28-6).

Those two teams are the 1979-80 team (24-5) and the 1987-88 (26-6) teams. And guess what seeds they got - #3 and #4, respectively.

Interestingly, though, the next closest teams were '81 and '92 teams, with 7 losses each (but less wins than this year's teams, so lower winning percentage). Those teams got 6 and 10 seeds.

However, BYU's schedule was probably more difficult this year than all of those years. So, this team probably has an advantage in that respect.

That is why I predict that if BYU wins out, 4-5 seed. If they lose one game, 6-8 seed.

The problem is that you are comparing different times. Back then they had 3 NBA players on the roster and were better respected than they are now.