SDSU beating UNLV without Spain in Vegas is quite the long shot. I'd say UNLV is 50/50 to win this tourney. -almost by default

Cornellcoug wrote:

Gunk wrote:

I bet NM beats UNLV and UNM gets the 3 spot.

And...I am predicting CSU finally wins a game and beats Wyoming. They are due. Besides I would rather play CSU than Wyoming.

I think you are right that we end up playing UNM in the second round and we win that one.

As much as I would like the upset special, this is UNLV's tournement so UNLV will beat SDSU and it will be a nice BYU vs. UNLV championship, which we'll win. We're still out for blood against them after losing so bad at their place.

We'll then get a 7th seed.

If BYU wins out and wins the tourney they get a higher seed than a 7. If that were to happen BYU would be ranked about 16 going into the tourney. If you look at conference tournaments there will be a lot of teams in the top 25 to lose and that will keep moving BYU up in the polls. If they win out, they will be a 6 seed or higher because of their higher profile games and the fact that Boise State and Wake Forest are better than originally thought.

If we win out (that's a big if) and get in the top 15 in the country prior to selection sunday. I'll be absolutely miffed if we get a 6 seed.
16/4 = 4
20/4 = 5
Our rpi is 22 right now and would climb if we won out to about 14-15 relatively easily- again a 6 is nice but not good enough if we dont' lose another game prior to then.
That's a big if and I wouldnt' be surprised to drop another game in the tourney, or even on the road to TCU but if we didn't and ended up in the top 15 in the country, a 6 seed is not god enough. Imagine if we had finished off Boise, Michigan State and SDSU...we'd literally be talking about a solid 3 seed right now.

If BYU wins out, craig is right - BYU will land a 4 or 5. That would be 16-1 over the last 17 games with likely 5 wins over RPI top 50 teams (likely) - 2 times over UNLV, 3 times over New Mexico.

Plus, they may have no losses to teams with less than 20 teams. Plus a good win over Louisville and some close losses to MSU and UNC. Great resume.

How do tie-breakers work?

What if BYU and UNLV finish with 3 losses apiece and split series?
What if SDSU and New Mexico finish with 6 losses apiece and split series?

Who gets #1 seed? Who gets #3 seed?

PlayoffDude wrote:

How do tie-breakers work?

What if BYU and UNLV finish with 3 losses apiece and split series?
What if SDSU and New Mexico finish with 6 losses apiece and split series?

Who gets #1 seed? Who gets #3 seed?

timmyboy wrote:

For those keep tracking, here's the tiebreaker formula in the MWC:

1. Head-to-head
2. Records against other MWC teams, from top to bottom of standings

craigoscarson wrote:
[quote]Cornellcoug wrote:
[quote]Gunk wrote:

If we win out (that's a big if) and get in the top 15 in the country prior to selection sunday. I'll be absolutely miffed if we get a 6 seed.
16/4 = 4
20/4 = 5
Our rpi is 22 right now and would climb if we won out to about 14-15 relatively easily- again a 6 is nice but not good enough if we dont' lose another game prior to then.
That's a big if and I wouldnt' be surprised to drop another game in the tourney, or even on the road to TCU but if we didn't and ended up in the top 15 in the country, a 6 seed is not god enough. Imagine if we had finished off Boise, Michigan State and SDSU...we'd literally be talking about a solid 3 seed right now.

Even with a loss to UNLV in the MWC tournament final, I could see BYU landing a 6 seed at the Big Dance. (top 25 Coaches Poll/AP, top 25 RPI finish).

That would be quite alright. BYU would most likely end up in Anaheim playing a Maryland/Florida/West Virginia type (#5-6 team from a 'big' conference)... a tough but very winnable game. Then, we would get a match-up against Stanford...I think that's definitely a step better than getting UCLA in the second round!

Obviously, to run the table would be even better. At a 5 seed, the first round game really wouldn't be that much different than the 6 or even 7 seed matchup, but the second round match-up would be much more winnable.

Would BYU prefer to play in Anaheim or Denver???