There is no easy answer to this question, really. And I also realize that the MWC is
currently getting a lot more respect than the WAC, for example (intentional emphasis on currently, considering how our Conference's executives are bound and determined to run our conference into the ground...).
However, ruminate with me, if you will, on the plight of our friends from the north at the end of the 03-04 season (Further north than that! You'll NEVER hear me call THEM friends!).
If it were three days before Selection Sunday, and you heard that a D-1 team had ONLY TWO LOSSES the ENTIRE SEASON, how many of you
wouldn't assume (
no matter what happened in the conference tournament) that such a team was a SHOO-IN for the Dance, and a likely 3 or 4 seed?! I know I would!!! Yet in '04, the USU Aggies (a GREAT team, by the way, who beat our impressive BYU squad that in the same year rocked a Final-Four team!), EASILY the WAC regular season champ, lost a heartbreaker upset to CS Northridge in the conference final, and found themselves on the outside looking in! That's right, with THREE LOSSES TOTAL, the Ag's were SCREWED by the Selection Committee, and were sent with their tail between their legs to the NIT. IIRC, they were only the second or third team in the history of the Tournament not to be selected at-large with only three losses. Idiotic!
Any given year, give BYU an uncharacteristically weak schedule (opponents having off years, for example), and how do we know that BYU couldn't be facing the same exact situation?! I realize that our name garners a bit more respect than that, but the point is, what does getting our work done early do for us if we're at risk for having it all mean nothing because of some upset in the conference tourney, ESPECIALLY when the current setup of our conference tournament favors the perennial two-seed SO STRONGLY?!? Safe to say, dropping a couple of seeds due to a Conference final loss almost GUARANTEES BYU a Big Dance first-round loss.